Welcome to Predyct Analytics

Our predictions are derived from having a profound understanding of the relationship between risk, capital and value. Most corporate managements in financial services still rely on the guiding principles of Risk Based Capital (RBC), ad hoc rules of thumb for allocating capital and rating agencies & regulatory guidelines for capital adequacy -- Guiding principles that have all proven to be consistently wrong yet continue to be relied upon. Follow our web site through to see how we diagnose corporate fates and behavior by having a second to none understanding of the relationship between risk, capital and value and how this understanding can be used to predict corporate outcomes years in advance: See “Why We Are Different.”

Predyct Analytics specializes in making predictions years in advance of the market that have consistently proven to be correct.

Predictions about:

The future risk, value and ratings of companies: See all Case Histories

In November 2007 Predyct Analytics forecast that AIG, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch and Bear Stearns all had a 25% chance of failure within one year. This was more than a year in advance of other advisory and Wall Street firms signaling trouble ahead. Our ongoing controversial valuation and rating of AIG had been well publicized in The Economist Magazine while our assessment of the three investment banks was performed for proprietary trading rather than public disclosure.

Likely divestitures, spin-offs and IPO’s (Case history A-1, Case history B-1, Case history B-5)
Share repurchase and extraordinary dividend actions (Case History B-3)
New equity and debt offerings
Likely earnings failures and falls in market value (Case history A-1, Case history B-1)
Corporate decisions and actions that will lead (axiomatically) to the destruction of shareholder value that could have been predicted in real time (Case history B-1, Case history C-1, Case history C-2, Case history C-3)

These are predictions based on rigorous risk and shareholder value analytics that we have made on behalf of our clients (See: Who We Serve)

Other specializations:

Predyct Analytics also specializes in the valuation of Intangible Assets and Intellectual Properties as well as their protection using insurance solutions. See Intangible Assets
Project finance
Alternative risk classes

Predyct Analytic’s Enterprise Risk Model (ERM) provides to investors, investment bankers, insurance industry executives, and regulators an unparalleled view of insurance companies’ current and projected financial performance.

Never have the economics and risk of insurance companies been so rigorously unbundled, analyzed, and reconstituted to reveal as accurate a portrait of risk and return as has been accomplished with Predyct Analytic’s ERM. This capability is available through several venues from Predyct Analytics including as a subscription. Click the link to download the brochure to your computer.